The Mid-Year Housing Market Update: Why Forecasts Changed in 2026

Inflation, High Treasury Yields Force Mortgage Rates Upward

Inflation, High Treasury Yields Force Mortgage Rates Upward Mortgage rates have fluctuated again this week, seeing an increase as inflation rose due to elevated oil, gas and energy prices due to continued geopolitical tensions, according to the latest data from Freddie Mac. Freddie Mac’s Primary Mor
Read MoreMortgage Rates Inch Down This Week

Mortgage Rates Inch Down This Week Mortgage rates ticked down slightly this week despite inflation concerns rising after this week’s CPI report. The average mortgage rate decreased 1 basis point to 6.36% down from 6.37% last week, according to the latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®), rel
Read MoreThinking About an Adjustable-Rate Mortgage? Here’s What You Need To Know.

Mortgage Rates Decline for Third Straight Week, but Headwinds Remain

Mortgage Rates Decline for Third Straight Week, but Headwinds Remain Mortgage rates have reached their lowest point since mid-March but economists worry inflation and economic uncertainty caused by tensions in the Middle East will result in temporary decreases versus more sustained stability. The a
Read MoreRates Drop Again but Economists Say Momentum Depends on Ceasefire

Rates Drop Again but Economists Say Momentum Depends on Ceasefire Economists continue to be cautious about the direction of mortgage rates, saying the spring market outlook remains unclear and further decreases could depend on weather the ceasefire in the Middle East remains intact. The average mor
Read MoreMortgage Rates Hit Highest Level of 2026

Mortgage Rates Hit Highest Level of 2026 While mortgage rates hit a high for the year so far, reflecting escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, analysts point to average rates still remaining below year-ago levels and offering some improvement to buyers purchasing power. The average m
Read MoreMortgage Rates Drop Below 6% for the First Time in Over 3.5 Years

Mortgage Rates Drop Below 6% for the First Time in Over 3.5 Years Just in time for the spring buying season, average mortgage rates crossed “into the fives,” this past week, their lowest level in years, and one economists describe as a “psychological barrier and numeric threshold” that could bring m
Read MoreMortgage Rates Drop Again, Hitting Lowest Level Since September 2022

Mortgage Rates Drop Again, Hitting Lowest Level Since September 2022 As inventory challenges persist in some markets and have improved in others, economists generally point to a Spring market with increased buyers, provided average mortgage rates remain at their recent years-long lows. The latest Pr
Read MoreReport: Rate Decline in January Opened Refinance Opportunity for Nearly 5 Million Homeowners

Report: Rate Decline in January Opened Refinance Opportunity for Nearly 5 Million Homeowners Early January declines in mortgage rates unlocked refinance opportunities for nearly five million borrowers and helped push affordability to a four-year high, according to the February Mortgage Monitor relea
Read MoreMortgage Rates Continue to Hold Steady Around 6%

Mortgage Rates Continue to Hold Steady Around 6% Housing market watchers say improving home affordability and inventory levels are short-term positives for home shoppers, but caution that the maintaining the independence of the Federal Reserve and tracking broader economic conditions like consumer c
Read MoreMortgage Rates Hold, Applications Down This Week

Mortgage Rates Hold, Applications Down This Week This week saw a decrease in overall home purchase applications but the average mortgage rate held steady at or around three-year lows. The latest Primary Mortgage Market Survey® (PMMS®), released by Freddie Mac Thursday, shows the 30-year fixed-rate m
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